{"id":6538,"date":"2020-03-11T13:13:36","date_gmt":"2020-03-11T17:13:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fundamentalanalytics.com\/?p=6538"},"modified":"2021-04-25T22:01:06","modified_gmt":"2021-04-26T02:01:06","slug":"cftc-cbot-wheat-february-26%ef%bb%bf-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fundamentalanalytics.com\/ar\/cftc-cbot-wheat-february-26%ef%bb%bf-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"CFTC CBOT Wheat February 26\ufeff, 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"<h5 style=\"text-align: center;\">Hedge Funds Net Long Positions in CBOT Wheat contracts and CBOT Wheat Price<\/h5>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong>Latest CFTC Report<\/strong><\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><\/div>\n<div>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Recently there has been a significant increase in the large hedge funds long positions in CBOT Wheat as reported by the CFTC<\/div>\n<div>Commitment of Traders.\u00a0Viewing the black line in Figure 1 we observe the funds have increased their long positions from about 90,000 contracts last December to 165,000 contracts in the most recent report.\u00a0This is the largest long positions since January 2014.\u00a0We have also plotted the short positions (the red line) at about 105,000 contracts in the most recent report.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Figure 2 plots the net positions of the funds in CBOT Wheat as the difference between the longs and shorts (the green spikes) at about 60,000 net long contracts.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Figure 3 plots the net positions of the funds in CBOT Wheat (green spikes) with the CBOT Wheat prices (black line). The funds net positions track the prices showing net long positions occur during periods of price rallies. What is unusual about this current period is that the net long positions have been increasing during a period of price decreases. This suggest the large hedge funds believe prices are expected to rally soon as they have increased their net long positions during a period of decreasing prices.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/files.constantcontact.com\/cdf199da001\/56a069ab-f197-48d6-bbe3-e51348126116.png\" \/><\/div>\n<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/files.constantcontact.com\/cdf199da001\/e1d17965-8e09-43fe-9c16-ba67525354c3.png\" \/><\/div>\n<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/files.constantcontact.com\/cdf199da001\/bc9a1bc0-13de-4a81-9203-46837c39f375.png\" \/><\/div>\n<div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>For more insights and analysis or to find out about our free trial offer, go to www.fundamentalanalytics.com<br \/>\nFollow us on Twitter @fundanalytics or on LinkedIn<\/p>\n<p>Regards,<br \/>\nThe Fundamental Analytics Team<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hedge Funds Net Long Positions in CBOT Wheat contracts and CBOT Wheat Price Latest CFTC Report \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Recently there has been a significant increase in the large hedge funds long positions in CBOT Wheat as reported by the CFTC Commitment of Traders.\u00a0Viewing the black line in Figure 1 we observe the funds have increased their long [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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